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LETTING THE SOLAR SYSTEM WORK FOR YOU!!

There is a bit of "tongue in cheek" in the title. Our lives are so busy with hectic schedules and with an intense focus on our daily activities, that we sometimes feel like the whole solar system and universe orbits around us. But, when we step back and look at the physics of the solar system we begin to realize that we are only along for the ride. Here on earth everything (including us) is buffeted by overwhelming waves of tremendous solar energy, light, electromagnetic, and cosmic energy. In this presentation, I will be showing you some very interesting correlations between the various phases of the 11 year solar energy cycle (usually called "the sunspot cycle") and the corresponding changes that impact our collective behavior as a result.

I believe it is well documented with convincing evidence that fluctuations in solar irradiance (energy) correspond to fluctuations in levels of human excitability, which in turn influences the business cycle. Also, that changes in solar energy output impacts all of nature in certain predictable ways. It was with this knowledge that I knew, the increasing rate of solar energy released in the late 1990's (as part of the 11 year "sunspot" cycle) would raise our collective level of excitement and emotionalism to levels of "irrational exuberance" and extreme. Also, as the 11 year cycle in solar energy was peaking in 2000-2001, we would likely be entering an economic recession. My commentary with these forecasts are archieved on the CFOS research page. This was NOT accomplished by astrology, but rather by studying the works of many outstanding scientists spanning a period of 150 years. I hope you enjoy this presentation and find it useful! - Hal Swanson

Remember the great enthusiasm and excitement in the late 1990's, it seemed like almost anything was possible! At its fever pitch, we were all excited about life and the limitless opportunities around us. Well, that collective intense optimism has repeated itself with regularity (and much variance) throughout our history. It most closely matches the cyclic acceleration of the Sun's energy as measured by an increase in sunspot numbers. The idea that the sun's activity can affect us psychologically will make some people uncomfortable, but the evidence is there and it seems undeniable. By understanding all the processes at work, supported by multiple scientific papers, we can use this knowledge to anticipate social change and to perhaps even improve upon it. I will be giving plenty of source links for those of you like myself, like to dig into the nuts and bolts of a subject. By the way, the limitless opportunities are still there, but the Sun's energy is now in a decelerating phase which collectively "dampens" or lowers our level of excitement ..and we can sense that. As I go on, I will be telling you more about this!

The relationship between energy flux on the sun and it's effect on everything alive on earth is pretty well documented. The 11 year sunspot cycle has some close correlations to the stock market, economic growth and recession, periods of high mass excitability, weather, health, and more...

First, I would like to put the sun, earth, and the solar system into perspective. The farthest known orbiting object around the sun is a tiny ball of ice and rock called 1996 TL66 which lies more than 12 billion miles away at the farest point in its orbit. Pluto, the farthest planet from the sun orbits it from about 4.6 billion miles away. So, we're talking about our solar system which is unimaginably big! When it comes to mass, the sun is some 333,400 times more massive than earth and contains 99.86 percent of the mass of the entire solar system! And, Jupiter is twice the mass of all the rest of the planets in the solar system combined! So, earth and the other planets are just along for the ride. The sun is held together by gravitational attraction, producing immense pressure and temperature at its core (more than a billion times that of the atmosphere on earth). The total energy radiated from the sun is 383 billion trillion kilowatts, which is the equivalent to the energy generated by 100 billion tons of TNT exploding each second.
(ref: Recent article from NASA (09/12/06) - "First Global Connection Between Earth And Space Weather Found "; Here is a great primer on sun-earth fundamentals by NASA and for current space conditions go to SOHO. And, here is a list of quotes by scientists on various aspects of the sun/earth connection Whole Earth Forecaster ).

THE PLANETARY SYSTEM-SUN DYNAMICS

We think of the the sun as sitting in the center of the solar system called the baycenter, but in fact the Sun is pulled in a circular pattern (relative ecliptic) around the baycenter by the collective masses/orbital velocities of the giant planets, jupiter, saturn, uranus, and neptune. These collective forces are so great that the sun is pulled up to 2.2 solar radii outside the baycenter of the solar system by the angular momentum of the planets! It's believed by some scientists that this orbital/cyclic behavior between planets and the sun creates variations of more than 7% in the sun's equatorial velocity which significantly affects the sun's magnetic fields. According to theory, it is these major fluctuations in the sun's magnetic fields which affect the sub-surface solar convection (internal dynamics) resulting is changes in the sun's energy output, which in turn creates variation in the earth's climate. For our purposes it is the pulsating 11 year cycle in energy output, called the "sunspot cycle" that is most useful in this presentation. The 11 year cycle is actually one-half of a 22.1 year sunspot cycle which is identified by a reversal in sun's magnetic polarity. There is evidence that changes in the sun's energy output significantly influences the earth's dynamics, it's climate, and all it's living creatures both physically and psychologically. (ref: Planetary Positions Affect Solar Activity )


The picture on the right illustrates the typical changes in solar flux that occurs over an average 11 year sunspot cycle. This cycle is not constant in length nor in its intensity. The length can vary from 9.5 years to 12.5 years and the sun's internal magnetic field and energy output will flucuate uniquely with each cycle. During the Solar Minimum its magnetic field will be organized and well structured. During the following 5-6 years as the sun moves toward Solar Maximum the orderly magnetic field of the sun will be totally destroyed, resulting in massive cornal holes and solar flares sending intense energy releases (solar winds) throughout our solar system. As the cycle moves toward Solar Minimum again, the re-organization of the solar magnetic field occurs bringing order and relative calmness to the sun's surface. This approximate 11 year cycle leaves its footprint on earth's geomagnetic field placing stress on this planet's surface (increased earthquakes and volcanic activity), on the climate (three times the number of thunderstorms occur during solar maximum) and in a cyclic pattern that's evident in various human activities as well.
(ref: Climate and Keplerian Planetary Dynamics, The King-Hele Cycles , Solar Activity: A Dominant Factor In Climate Dynamics , Quite lengthy, but excellent Timo Niroma: One possible explanation for the cyclicity in the Sun)

CORRELATION: SUNSPOT CYCLES AND ECONOMIC ACTIVITY

The graph of sunspot numbers since 1900 has some characteristics that should be noted. First, 9 out of 10 of the sunspot cycle peaks (sunspot maximum) occurred near or at the end of each decade. Second, 9 out of 10 of the cycle lows (sunspot minimum) occurred in about the middle of each decade. Thirdly, the sunspot numbers in each cycle increased to a maximum number in the late 1950's peak, then began declining including the 2000 peak. Interestingly, the greatest period of thunderstorms and severe winters in the last century occurred during the decade of the 1950's. Look at the chart below, you see that each sunspot cycle corresponded with an economic recession! ..Here's the sunspot peaks and recessions for the last five decades: 1957-1958 (also 1960); sunspot peak and recession: 1969-1970; sunspot peak and recession: 1980 (also 1981-1982); sunspot peak and recession: 1990-1991; sunspot peak and recession: 2000-2001; and next projected sunspot peak and recession: 2009-2012.


It is during the period of increasing (acceleration) solar activity that we collectively become more excited and energized, probably as a result of increased geomagnetic flux and atmospheric ionization. As solar energy output is rising, earth is impacted by increased waves solar magnetic winds, which changes the natural dynamics of our environment. Our economic activity and level of enthusiasm has risen during the second half of each decade following the increasing rate of sunspot activity (solar energy output) ..the correlation is there. At sunspot peaks, the speed of increasing sunspot activity has already begun to slow (declining rate of change) and our level of excitability is declining which slows the rate of change. Usually, economic extremes have already been reached and a relative state of exhaustion has set in. The following few years is a period of re-grouping and consolidation both in economic and emotional terms. ..before it all starts up again with the next cycle!

In the early 1900's a Russian named A.L. Tchijevsky studied this solar/social pattern and wrote extensively about it. He constructed an Index of Mass Human Excitability covering each year from 500 BC to 1922 AD including the histories of 72 countries. He found that over 80% of the most significant events occurred during the 5 years of the sunspot activity maximum. I have written more about him later in this presentation, but here I wanted to show how he divided the eleven year sunspot cycle into four different social phases. ** There is a back shift of one year in the cycle years given to reflect the approximate peak in rate of change for solar energy output. **:

Period 1: (approximately 3 years, minimum sunspot activity). Peace, lack of unity among the masses, election of conservatives, autocratic, minority rule. **Last cycle: February, 1993 to July, 1996; Next cycle: 2004 to 2007.
Period 2: (approximately 2 years, increasing sunspot activity). Increasing mass excitability, new leaders rise, new ideas and challenges to the elite. **Last cycle: August, 1996 to April, 1998; Next cycle: 2007 to 2009.
Period 3: (approximately 3 years, maximum sunspot activity). Maximum excitability, election of liberals or radicals, mass demonstration, riots, revoluation, wars and resolution of most pressing demands. **Last cycle: May, 1998 to May, 2001; Next cycle: 2009 to 2012.
Period 4: (approximately 3 years, decreasing sunspot activity). Decrease in excitability, masses become apathetic, seek peace. **Last cycle: June, 2001 to ???, 2004; Next cycle: 2012 to 2015.

Whether or not the connection between solar activity and social behavior can be broken down into such neat catagories is debatable, but I see a more general pattern here which can be useful in our understanding of this dynamic relationship and in trying to anticipate the intensity of our collective activities.

The decennial chart on the right projects the next several years of stock market behavior based on the decade (10 year) pattern for the last century. For investing purposes, the price trend is a more important factor than the decennial pattern (caution is advised!). Here, I am using the stock market as a general gauge of economic activity and public sentiment. The graph indicates that recessions, economic weakness, and public pessimism occurs more frequently in the first few years of each decade. Then as the decade progresses public optimism grows and economic activity strengthens. This phase ends with consumers, businesses, and governments over-confident and over-spent. Now, look back at the sunspot cycle graph and you'll see rapidly declining sunspot numbers (lower solar output) in the early years of most decades and rapidly rising sunspot numbers in the later years of each decade. This a very strong correlation, ..and I doubt it's the sun getting excited about our stock market going up!
So, what happens "if" economic conditions are poor as we enter the next excitable phase of the solar cycle? Well, it's possible that people would become more pro-active in demanding changes in their social welfare. Perhaps, labor strikes for higher wages, demonstrations for a "freer" health care system, demands for national job training and public works, higher taxes on the wealthy, this would obviously be a shift towards a more socialistic society! And yes, socialism vs individualism does cycle around, just like everything else in the universe! ..The next period of intense excitability is approximately late 2009 to 2012. As of early 2004, the stock market has risen to levels of extremely high price/earnings ratios (in the mid-30's basis S & P 500) By mid-2005, I expect either a major acceleration of the uptrend following the decennial pattern above (caused by turbo-charged real GDP growth ..which seems unlikely) or more probably, a significant price reversal downward riding on the back of major debt problems, rising interest rates and currency based inflation (too many dollars). ..The current upward retracement (S & P 500) of the September, 2000 to March, 2003 decline is projected to be completed between 1163.83 (06/10/04) to 1252.65 (09/22/04), I would look for some important price pattern changes in that area.

Sunspot-Manufacturing graph by Edward R. Dewey (1968). The Foundation For the Study of Cycles

Here is another example of the correlation between solar activity and our collective behavior. This graph shows the rise and fall of US manufacturing activity which is tracking very closely the rate of change in the 11 year cycle in sunspot activity (compare graph B with graph C). The Foundation For The Study Of Cycles has many more examples that fit this same pattern, some of which are listed later in this presentation. Mr. Edward R. Dewey is considered the father of cycle research and was asked by President F. D. Roosevelt in the 1930's to determine the causes of the Great Depression. While he produced volumes of evidence as to the cyclic nature in man's endeavors, much of his work at the Foundation has not been updated since his death. I have offered many links on this page to give interested readers much food for thought. At the bottom of this page, I have included a list of other alleged economic and socialogical 11 year cycles (10.8 years to 11.4 years). So, why have we not been taught about our cyclic connection to nature? ...perhaps when prosperity is all around us who needs more answers?

CORRELATION: SUNSPOT CYCLES AND WAR

I have read that over the last 3400 years of world history there have only been 200 years of absolute peace, ..quite a statement about man's lethal ego! Many studies have found cycles in the intensity of wars (number of international battles) ranging from 9.6 years to 180 years in length. Two of the most dominate cycles found by Edward Dewey (1970) was the 9.6 year and 11.24 year cycles. Both of these correspond closely to the 11 year sunspot cycle. Dewey wrote, "It is inconceivable that the war cycle, which has recurred as regularly as it has, and has continued over nearly 2,500 years, could possibly be the result of anything except some external cause." The peak in war activity seems to center around a year or two of solar maximums with a lessening of warring conditions within a year or two of solar minimums.

The following is a list of solar 11 year cycle peaks with their corresponding major war events: Solar Sunspot Peaks: peak ..1777-1779 (1776-1783 American Revolution), peak ..1786-1788 (1788-1791 French Revolution), peak ..1803-1805 (1803-1806 Napoleon conquers Europe), peak ..1815-1817 (1815-1817 Two wars to defeat Napoleon), peak ..1829-1831 (1828-1832 Revolts in Turkey, Mexico, Belguim, Poland, France, Britain), peak ..1847-1849 (1846-1848 Mexican War), peak ..1859-1861 (1861 Amercian Civil War begins), peak ..1869-1871 (1869-1870 Franco/Prussian War), peak ..1882-1884 (1883-1886 big US labor strikes, revolt in Sudan), peak ..1892-1894 (1893-1895 Zulu revolt, Cuban revolution), peak ..1905-1907 (1904-1905 Russo-Japanese War), peak ..1916-1918 (1914-1918 First World War, Russian Revolution), peak ..1927-1929 (1927-1929 US stock market crash, revolt in China, India, Vienna), peak ..1936-1938 (1936-1939 Spanish Civil War, Germany and Japan start Second World War), peak ..1947-1949 (1946-1949 Red Army wins China, Greek Civil War, India-Pakistan riots), opeak ..1956-1958 (1957-1960 French-Algerian War, Cuban Revolution, revolt in Iraq, MauMau, Israel invades Sinai), (SSP) 1967-1969 (1967-1969 height of Viet Nam War, worldwide student uprisings, Czechoslovakian uprising/USSR invasion, US inner city riots), peak ..1978-1980 (1979-1982 USSR invades Afghanistan, Iraq-Iran War begins, Falkland War, US invades Grenada), peak ..1988-1990 (1989-1991 Dissolution Of Soviet Union begins, Berlin Wall falls, Tianamen Square uprising, Yugoslavia begins slaughter in Bosnia, Somalia Civil War), peak ..1999-2001 (1999-2001 overthrow in Indonesia, Sernian-KLA conflicts increases, Trade Center/Pentagon terrorist attack, US prepares Afghanistan invasion).

Edward R. Dewey's War Cycle Graph

In Dewey's classic book titled "Cycles - Selected Writings" (published in 1970), he included an indepth cyclic analysis of international battles. His graph below is a 10.8 year (sunspot cycle?) time chart (highs only) of the smoothed deviations of international battles from 550 A.D. through 1957. While several deviations can be seen on the graph, the general ebb and flow of warring conditions throughout history can be clearly identified. The broken line rises for 86.4 years and falls for 86.4 years.

I have written above that, the sun is pulled in a circular pattern (relative ecliptic) around the baycenter by the collective masses/orbital velocities of the giant planets, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Neptune. These collective forces are so great that the Sun is pulled up to 2.2 solar radii outside the baycenter of the solar system by the angular momentum of the planets. This extreme pulling on the sun occurs in approximately 170 to 180 year cycles. The broken lines on Dewey's war graph represents an idealized cycle of 172.8 years in length!
It looks like a sun-excitability connection to me.

The last ideal low occurred in 1944 and the next peak in international battles is projected to be 2029. ..sorry about that.
(ref: 1816 - The Year Without A Summer 170 to 180 year solar cycle )

Some factors that could make the Sun influence our behavior

As the sunspot numbers are rising solar energy output is increasing also. Solar flares and their accompanying solar winds are intense solar explosions sometimes as large as 50,000 miles across which erupt out into space. During these solar eruptions ultra-violet radiation, electro-magnetic waves, and electronically charged particles are spread throughout the solar system and reach earth in a couple of days. This bombardment of the earth causes magnetic storms, aura borealis, fluctuations in atmospheric pressure, and an increase in positive and negative ionization. Studies have shown that electrical thunderstorms increase 300% after these solar flares and the number of earthquakes and cyclones increase as well. These solar storms have disrupted satellites, power grids, and telephone systems. A few studies link ultra-violet radiation and changes in magnetic fields to increased metabolism levels or erratic behavior. And it is well known that an increase in negative ions make us more energetic. So, it is quite possible that the acummlative effects of these factors can change our collective behavior, perception of reality, and levels of personal activity.

(ref: Sunspots and Human Behavior, Solar Activity & Magnetic Field Fluctuations Affect Earth Weather, Weather Affects Humans, Influences of Solar Activity Upon Biosphere , Sunspots more active than for 8000 years, Sunspots have a measurable effect on crops , Influences of Solar Activity Upon Earth Prices )

The primary source of energy to earth is irradiant energy through many wave lengths of the light spectrum. Sunlight powers photosynthesis, and provides energy for the atmospheric and oceanic circulations that profoundly affect all living things. While the source of the sun's energy comes from its core, the source of the solar cycle variations come from tremendous fluctuations in the sun's own magnetic field, and this magnetic energy is released in the forms of flares and intense coronal mass ejections. It is these accumulative large blasts of solar energy during solar maximum that exhibit the greatest effects on our behavior and earth's climate. Evidence of solar cycles can be traced back many thousands of years in atomic isotopes found in polar ice deposits. What protects earth from a letheal dose of solar energy is earth's strong internal electro-magnetic field which projects out into space and interacts with solar winds (energy) which creates a cavity called the magnetosphere which ends at the ionosphere. The ionosphere begins at an altitude of about 50 km above earth and reaches out to more than 1000 km above earth.
(ref: The Earth's Ionosphere, Solar Flares And Possible Effects On Humans, The Ionosphere - A Real-Time Dynamic Model, Effect Of Geomagnetic Activity On Cardiovascular Parameters, Possible Space Weather influence On The Human Brain, Solar Activity: A Dominant Factor In Climate Dynamics, current space weather activity SpaceWeather.com )

There have been over 5000 studies completed by the US military, universities and major corporations about air ioniziation and it's effects on humans and the biosphere. The results of these studies are significant and have yet to be explained to the general public. I have given numerous links to the processes of ionization of the atmosphere and I recommend you read them. Generally speaking, an excessive positive ionization is harmful, this comes from pollution and a big city environment, very dry weather, several electronic appliances, and many other sources. A short list of the detrimental effects of excessive positive ionization is anxiety, apathy, fatigue, headaches, aggressiveness, irritation, emotional unbalance, and an increase in other health problems. What basically creates the opposite effects is an environment rich in negative ions.


(ref: the above positive/negative ionization chart came from Superforce.com , and here is an excellent study on ionization Ionization and Air Quality - A technological Study)

So, how does our future look based on all of these influences?

The future is precise terms is unpredictable! Here I will combine what I have learned about social and economic cycles, market (mass) behavior, and the 11 year solar cycle, to draw a possible social scenario for the next 10 years or so. First, I must state that the future will not look like my scenario, but some of the projected trends should be correct and exert themselves on our collective behavior. In 2004, we are living in a very stressful environment, the Iraq war (on going), tremendous global economic imbalances, such as US trade and budget deficits, and ballooning US debt, Europe has social labor laws and a tax system that retards growth, Asia has underdeveloped social systems and economies that are overly dependent on US exports. Lastly, there are growing global doubts about the world leadership role of the United States. From my perspective, we will see weak economic growth with ongoing debt "issues", with high price volitility and substantial "real" inflation for the foreseeable future. ..There is too much compounding global debt to pay off without more financial crisses and de-stablizing market volitility!!

Here is my armchair analysis of what lays ahead for the next 10 years. This is being done with humility. I have already given projected years for each social phase of A.L. Tchijevsky's sunspot cycle above. This analysis is based on my understanding of the solar cycle, Tchijevsky's pattern, and my interpetation of current events : From 2004 to 2007, we are told the ecomony is working, ..the people are apathetic, lack unity, seek peace, and the autocratic conservatives rule. From 2007 to 2009, the economy is declining in "real" terms, and the people want to "vote in" economic relief. The public is frustrated and makes demands for social reform against an elitist government (who will win??). New private leadership will challenge the old system with an increase in activism, and a more socialistic agenda. From 2009 to 2012, maximum excitability, who knows what to expect here? Perhaps more warring conditions, a probable economic recession, and the possiblilty of sweeping changes (more non-establishment types get elected) a move towards representing the majority at the expense of corporations (more socialism). From 2012 to 2015, a decline in excitability, most people probably accepting reduced government social influence and support, apathetic towards their future and perhaps living in the memory of past successes. Hopefully, I'm wrong!

The decennial pattern tells us the Dow Industrials should rise into 2007 before having a significant correction and then rise again to a peak towards the end of 2009. It will probably do the opposite. Watch closely the stock market price action between the fall of 2004 and the spring of 2005


(ref: NASA, Solar Physics Sunspot Cycle Predictions )

THE SUN'S ENERGY AND PATTERNS IN HUMAN BEHAVIOR

The obvious solar cycles we live with (and usually take for granted) are: the 24 hour day-night pattern (with the nightly sleep period being one of my favorites). There are other times of day that we all recognize as special to each of us, the creativity of the morning or the calmness of an evening, ..and there's nothing like watching a beautiful sunset, or on those too rare of occasions a sunrise. And, there's the annual movement of the seasons, how many of those have slipped by without our full appreciation? This report is about those wonderful experiences, but also about using the tremendous forces of the solar system with all its power and it's impact on us ..physically, psychological, and emotionally, to make money ..what do you think about that idea??

In 1847, Dr. Hyde Clarke wrote a paper entitled, "Physical Economy - A Preliminary Inquiry into the physical Laws governing the Periods of Famines and Panics." which was published in the Railway Register. In the commencement he remarks, "We have just gone through a time of busy industry, and are come upon sorrow and ill-fortune; but the same things have befallen us often within the knowledge of those now living. Of 1837, of 1827, of 1817, of 1806, of 1796, there are men among us who can remember the same things as we now see in 1847. A period of bustle, or of gaming, cut short in a trice and turned into a period of suffering and loss, is a phenomenon so often recorded, that what is most to be noticed is that it should excite any wonder."

LIST OF ALLEGED ECONOMIC AND SOCIALOGICAL 11 YEAR CYCLES (10.8 YEARS TO 11.4 YEARS)


Written by Edward R. Dewey (1968). The Foundation For the Study of Cycles.

COMMODITY PRICES
Cotton Prices, (1731-1964)
Grain Prices, (1259-1400)
Pig Iron Prices, (1784-1951)
Sheep Value, (1867-1963)
Wheat Prices, (1545-1869)
Wholesale Commodity Prices, (1720-1964)

STOCK PRICES
Combined Stock Prices, (1871-1958)
Industrial Stock Prices, (1871-1950)
Stock Prices, (1871-1964)

OTHER FINANCIAL
Deposits in All Banks, (1834-1964)
Post Office Revenues, (1800-1964)
Reichsbank Clearings, (1884-1925)
Residential Mortgage Loans, (1923-1942)
United States Steel Corp. Earnings, (1900-1948)

GENERAL BUSINESS
Business Activity, (1855-1940)
General Business Activity, (1750-1960)
Non-Agricultural Business Activity, (1875-1931)

AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY
Corn Acreage Harvested, (1866-1964)
Cotton Production, (1790-1964)
Crop Yields, USA, (1792-1951)

INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION
Automobile Production,USA, (1925-1936)
Lead Production, (1821-1964)
Crude Petroleum Production, (1861-1964)
Physical Production of Manufacturing, USA, (1863-1953)
Physical Production of Minerals, (1878-1927)
Pig Iron Production, (1844-1958)

MISCELLANEOUS ECONOMICS
Business Panics, USA, (1877-78,1933-34)
Commercial Crises, France, England, (1793-1847)
Worldwide Econimic Prosperity and Crises, (no dates given)
Shipwrecks, Indian Ocean, (no dates given)
Value of Fisheries, Canada, (1870-1917)

SOCIALOGICAL
International Battles, (529 B.C.-1900 A.D.)
Mass Human Excitability, Worldwide, (500 B.C.-1922 A.D.)
Drought and Famine in South India, (no dates given)
Marriage Rates in 15 Countries, (1867-1912)

One of the earlier in-depth historical studies of the 11 year sunspot cycle and it effects on human behavior was conducted by A.L. Tchijevsky, a Russian professor of Astronomy and Biological Physics. In 1926, he presented a paper to the American Meteorological Society in Philadelphia, using an index he constructed, called "Index of Mass Human Excitability", he found an 11.1 year cycle in the number of major battles, riots, migrations, and human excitability in 72 countries going back to 500 B.C.. He concluded that 80% of the major events of human drama occurred during the 5 years around maximum in sunspot activity.

The following are written quotes by Professor Tchijevsky:
"As soon as the sunspot activity approaches its maximum, the number of important mass historical events, taken as a whole, increases, approaching its maximum during the sunspot maximum and decreasing to its minimum during the periods of the sunspot minimum..."
"In the middle points of the cycle, the mass activity of all humanity, assuming the presence in human societies of economical, political, or military exciting factors, reaches the maximum tension, manifesting itself in psychomotoric pandemics, revolutions, insurrections, expeditions, migrations, etc, -- thus creating new formations in the existing separate states and new historical epochs in the life of humanity. It is accompanied by an integration of the masses, a full expression of their activity and a form of government consisting of a majority."
"In the extreme points of the cycle's course, the tension of the all human military-political activity falls to the minimum giving way to creative activity and is accompanied by a general decrease of military or political enthusiasm, by peace and peaceful creative work in the sphere of state organizations, international relations, science and art, with a pronounced tendency towards absolutism in the governing powers and a disintegration of the masses."
"The maximum of human activites in correlation with the maximum of sunspot activity, expresses itself in the following:
A.) The dissemination of differentt doctrines (political, religious, etc.), the spreading of heresies, religious riots, pilgrimages, etc.
B.) The appearance of social, military and religious leaders, reformers, etc.
C.) The formation of political, military and religious and commercial corporations, associations, unions, leagues, sects, companies, etc...."

Professor Tchijevsky was incarcerated in a Russian prison for 30 years because his ideas and opinions were not aligned with the Russian government at that time!



READ THE RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS PAGE BEFORE ACTING ON ANY OF THESE RECOMMENDATIONS. TRADING ANY MARKET IS A RISKY VENTURE. ..especially with the current volatility!!

http://www.carolmoore.net/articles/sunspot-cycle.html NASA – Solar Physics- The Sunspot Cycle http://science.nasa.gov/ssl/pad/solar/sunspots.htm Space Weather http://www.sunspotcycle.com/ Sunspots and Human Behavior – by James Borges http://www.borderlands.com/sun/sunspots.htm Sunspot Cycles, human excitability and recessions http://www.carolmoore.net/articles/sunspot-cycle.html Solar Terrestrial Activity Report (frequent updates) http://dxlc.com/solar/ Graphical comparison of solar cycles http://www.dxlc.com/solar/cyclcomp.html A. L. Tchijevsky’s 1926 article “Physical Factors of the Historical Process” * R. Edward Dewey's book Cycles: The Mysterious Forces that Trigger Events, 1971, (available at links below) as well as his article "Sunspots and War, 300 B.C. to Date", R. E. Dewey, May, 1960; * A variety of scientific news articles, including: "Pieces of sun's magnetic field fly through space," Lawrence Spohn, Albuquerque Tribune, 3-22-91; "Great Ball of Fire: An angry sun stages a spectacular show," Time Magazine, July 3, 1989. B. C. References: Moore, Carol, Sunspot Cycles and Activist Strategy, http://www.kreative.net/carolmoore/sunspot-article.html Lakhovsky, Georges, The Secret of Life, BSRF, 1985 Petersen, William, Man, Weather, Sun, John Anderson Publishing Company, Chicago, 1947 Stetson, Harlan True, Sunspots in Action, The Ronald Press Company, New York, 1947 Stetson, Harlan True, Sunspots and Their Effects, McGraw-Hill, New York, 1937 Botezat-Antonescu, L., Predeanu I., “Possible Heliogeophysical Influence on Human Health in Romania” (Abstract), Relations of Biological and Physicochemical Processes with Solar Activity and Other Environmental Factors, 1993 Breus T.K., Halberg F. and Cornelissen G., “Effect of the Solar Activity on the Physiological Rhythms of Human Being” (Abstract), Relations of Biological and Physicochemical Processes with Solar Activity and Other Environmental Factors, 1993 Ertel, Suitber, Solar Activity and Bursts of Human Creativity, http://www.knowledge.co.uk/frontiers/sf067p17.html Freitas, Robert A., Sunspots and Disease, http://www.knowledge.co.uk/frontiers/sf034p12.html Goncharov, G.G., “Asian Nomads Invasions and Solar Cycles” (Abstract), Relations of Biological and Physicochemical Processes with Solar Activity and Other Environmental Factors, 1993

SOLAR INFLUENCES ON CLIMATE & NATURE



(ref: very interesting website Ocean and Climate Change Institute )
(ref: NOAA, an excellent weather & climate resource Climate TimeLine Information Tool )
(ref: Solar Activity Controls El Niño and La Niña )
(ref: NOAA, the government agenecy monitoring El Niño and La Niña )

(ref: Long-Range Forecast of U.S. Drought Based on Solar Activity)

(ref: The Year Without A Summer 170 to 180 year solar cycle )

(ref: The Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Climate Forecasting for North America PDO )


(ref: history of our climate NOAA Paleoclimatology Program )


(ref: interesting graphics/info on the Universe An Atlas of The Universe )





SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR. EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.



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