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SPEED & HARMONIC RESEARCH

The price analysis on this page is based on average velocity "speed", it's price/time junctures and harmonics ..it is something you have probably never seen before.
- Hal Swanson

An old but fitting quote: "Rhythm is in time what symmetry is in space."

READ THE RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS PAGE BEFORE ACTING ON ANY OF THESE RECOMMENDATIONS. TRADING ANY MARKET IS A RISKY VENTURE. ..especially with the current volatility!!


The majority of the charts and analysis below are taken from e-mails sent to clients on the date posted on each chart.

(01/31/09) - I'm in the process of writing and editing commentary for the charts below, it should be completed over this week-end.

This could be a very significant timeframe for the major financial and commodity markets. The equity and commodit markets are discounting disfunctional credit markets and a severe economic recession. The markets appear to be offering buy opportunities for a spring rally that could be intense if fueled by a collective inflationary psychology like that seen in the gold market. While global demand for gold jewelry is rapidly declining gold prices are on a run-away mission fueled by unpresidented investor demand that assumes structural inflation will follow the massive global expansion money supplies and governmental obligations. ..I certainly agree with this inflationary viewpoint and so does history. What is occurring is the unbridled global growth of "governmental debt bubbles" which are dwarfing the financial risks of both the high-tech bubble and the housing bubble.


GOLDMAN SACHS COMMODITY INDEX (WEEKLY CONTINUATION) - (01/07/09)



GOLDMAN SACHS COMMODITY INDEX (WEEKLY CONTINUATION) - (01/29/09)



GOLDMAN SACHS COMMODITY INDEX (HISTORICAL PATTERN) - (01/07/09)



GOLDMAN SACHS COMMODITY INDEX (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/29/09)



NY CRUDE OIL (MONTHLY CONTINUATION) - (01/15/09)



NY CRUDE OIL (WEEKLY CONTINUATION) - (01/15/09)



NY CRUDE OIL (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/30/09)



S & P 500 INDEX -(CONTINUATION DAILY) - (01/27/09)



S & P 500 INDEX -(CONTINUATION DAILY) - (01/27/09)



US DOLLAR INDEX (MARCH DAILY) - (01/26/09)

US DOLLAR INDEX (WEEKLY CONTINUATION) - (01/26/09)

EUROCURRENCY (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/26/09)



EUROCURRENCY (WEELY CONTINUATION) - (01/26/09)



LEAN HOGS (DAILY FEBRUARY) - (01/23/09)

PORK BELLIES (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/23/09)

NY COTTON (JULY DAILY) - (01/21/09)

NY Cotton (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/21/09)

US DOLLAR INDEX (WEEKLY CONTINUATION) - (01/20/09)

US DOLLAR INDEX (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/20/09)

NY GOLD (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/20/09)



Feeder Cattle (MARCH DAILY BARS) - (01/20/09)


NY GOLD (APRIL 30 MINUTE BARS) - (01/14/09)

NY GOLD (WEELY CONTINUATION) - (01/14/09)



CORN (WEEKLY CONTINUATION) - (01/13/09)

CORN (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/13/09)

CHICAGO WHEAT (WEEKLY CONTINUATION) - (01/13/09)

SOYBEANS (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/13/09)

S & P 500 INDEX -(CONTINUATION DAILY) - (01/12/09)



Here is an interesting article giving a historical and economic perspective posted on Prudentbear.com
by James Quinn called Unintended Consequences - 20th Century and Beyond .

US DOLLAR INDEX (WEEKLY CONTINUATION) - (01/05/09)

US DOLLAR INDEX (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/05/09)

NY CRUDE OIL (DAILY CONTINUATION) - (01/15/09)



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...You can contact Hal Swanson at 1-713-522-1161 or halswanson@cfos100.com ..if you have questions.

I will include you on my e-mail update list if you fill in and send to me the information below. A further reference: Calculating Retracements by Hal Swanson, Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine, April 1987, http://store.traders.com/-v05-c04-calcula-pdf.html

PLEASE READ THE RISK DISCLOSURE STATEMENT LINKED AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS PAGE BEFORE ACTING ON ANY OF THESE RECOMMENDATIONS. TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES IS A VERY RISKY VENTURE. ..especially with the current volitility!!

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SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MORE CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED OVER THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURES MARKETS TO REACT IN A SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR PERIOD OF THE YEAR. EVEN IF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES, AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST OR WILL IN THE FUTURE ACHIEVE PROFITS UTILIZING THESE STRATEGIES. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT PRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE. HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. RESULTS NOT ADJUSTED FOR COMMISSION AND SLIPPAGE.



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